Brandon Miller Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/31/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Made 3 Point Shots

Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 31, 2024

Updated Feb 1, 2024 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Brandon Miller Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller registers in the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc while on his home court, registering 5.6 per game this year.
Brandon Miller has averaged 30.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Charlotte Hornets have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 8 games.
The Chicago Bulls have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Brandon Miller figures to see a spike in production for all stats in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Brandon Miller has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
This year, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 23.9% on 3-pointers (15th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Chicago Bulls, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Hornets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
The Bulls have played at the slowest pace in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets rank 1stworst in in the NBA playing at home with only 8.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.