Brandon Miller Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Brandon Miller

NBA · Player Props

Brandon Miller

F · Charlotte Hornets

Assists

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:08 AM UTC

Analysis

Brandon Miller Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Brandon Miller has posted 3.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's posted overall this year.
Brandon Miller has averaged 31.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Hornets will likely get a boost in plays today from competing against the 4th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing squads have brought down 8.8 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) against the 76ers (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate more opportunities for offense).
Brandon Miller will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Brandon Miller measures in the 85th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.8 fouls per game at home this year.
The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Charlotte Hornets.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Charlotte Hornets grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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