Brandin Podziemski Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brandin Podziemski

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 22, 2024

Updated Mar 22, 2024 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

Brandin Podziemski Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-151/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -151.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 19.0 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive output.
The 4th-most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Warriors.
The Warriors are expected to get a boost in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).
The Warriors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Brandin Podziemski will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Brandin Podziemski has made 37.2% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, 5.5% less than he's made over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Brandin Podziemski measures in the 16th percentile for free-throw ability with a feeble 63.0% rate this year.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 16.6 foul shots per game settles in as the worst in the league over the last 20 games.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.