Brandin Podziemski Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Brandin Podziemski

G · Golden State Warriors

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 3:08 AM EST

Analysis

Brandin Podziemski Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
The Kings have played at the 5th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Golden State Warriors.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing teams have nabbed 9.3 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in further chances for offense).
Brandin Podziemski will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improve player performance in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Brandin Podziemski has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 76th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling when it comes to getting T'ed up.
In terms of scoring, the Golden State Warriors's feeble 46.4% field goal rate while playing at home ranks 5th-worst in the NBA this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for three-pointers; opposing clubs have posted the highest 3-point percentage in the league over the last 10 games (43.6%).
Out of all players in the league, Brandin Podziemski places in the 16th percentile for free-throw ability with a an unimpressive 63.0% rate this year.
Over the last 20 games when they are on their home court, the other team has attempted 23.6 free throws per game (7th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.