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Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bradley Beal has made 55.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 11.3% more than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season while playing at home.

Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal measures in the 86th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 32.3 minutes per game playing at home this year.

The Suns rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have totaled 2.6 three-pointers per game (4th-highest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, creating a positive matchup.

Bradley Beal has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games at home, 15.6% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year on his home court.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal lands in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.3 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

The Suns have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 4thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Minnesota Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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