Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 24, 2024

Updated Jan 25, 2024 1:23 AM UTC

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has converted 7.1 shots made from the field per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a colossal 31.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Suns's excellent 123.4 points per game as the visting team ranks 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have tallied 2.8 three-pointers per game (28th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to decrease possessions for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 6.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
While playing at home, the Dallas Mavericks have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Relative to last season's 4.6 clip, Bradley Beal's number of foul shot attempts has tailed off this season to 3.0 foul shot attempts per game.

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