Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 12/12/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 12, 2023

Updated Dec 13, 2023 2:54 AM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has scored 22.9 points per game when playing at home since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the league's best by this standard.
Among all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal comes in at the 87th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 32.7 minutes per game playing at home since the start of last season.
The Phoenix Suns check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home.
The Phoenix Suns are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
On the road, the Golden State Warriors have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.0) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bradley Beal lands in the 19th percentile for 3-point proficiency while at home with a a bad 16.7% rate since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one for three-point shots; when the Golden State Warriors are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 15th-least 3-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.1).
The 2nd-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
The Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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