Bradley Beal Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2023

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Washington Wizards

Points

Houston Rockets vs Washington Wizards · Jan 25, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has sunk an impressive 88.1% of his free throw attempts this year, significantly higher than his 80.1 mark last year.
Bradley Beal has played 32.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 87th percentile.
The Washington Wizards check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (which also lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The Wizards have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Rockets.
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a favorable one for scoring; while playing at home, their opposition have compiled the 3rd-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (45.3%).

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has attempted a lowly 4.2 three-point shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 5.3 rate last season.
The Rockets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games playing at home (which also reduces additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Washington Wizards check in as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game this year (3rd-least in the league).
Bradley Beal will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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