Bradley Beal Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Bradley Beal

NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Made 3 Point Shots

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 2:00 AM UTC

Analysis

Bradley Beal Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 4.5 rate, Bradley Beal's shot attempts from beyond the arc have spiked this year to 6.2 per game.
Among all players in the league, Bradley Beal lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, tallying a massive 32.4 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA while playing at home this year has been the Suns.
The 6th-speediest tempo home team in the league over the last 11 games has been the Phoenix Suns.
Bradley Beal will likely see a spike in output for all stats on account of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has accumulated 2.6 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have shot 17.6% on 3-pointers (worst in the NBA) against the Spurs, making this a hard matchup.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to reduce plays for the Phoenix Suns.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 6thworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

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