Bradley Beal Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Bradley Beal

G · Phoenix Suns

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Charlotte Hornets · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 10:00 PM EST

Analysis

Bradley Beal Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+140/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +142 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bradley Beal has averaged 2.8 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the best in the NBA by this metric recently: 75th percentile.
Bradley Beal has tallied 32.0 minutes per game playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Hornets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Suns.
Bradley Beal will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Bradley Beal has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while playing at home this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.