Bojan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Bojan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bojan Bogdanovic

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Utah Jazz vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic rates in the 85th percentile, posting an enormous 17.9 points per game on the road this year.
In contrast to last year's 6.0 mark, Bojan Bogdanovic's shots from behind the three-point arc have surged this year to 7.2 per game.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have tallied 2.4 threes per game (30th-highest in the league) against the Utah Jazz, creating a strong matchup.
The Pistons have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 10 games.
The Detroit Pistons will likely see a spike in possessions in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Utah Jazz).

Favors Under

Bojan Bogdanovic has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for in all games this year.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Pistons.
The Utah Jazz have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Bojan Bogdanovic has attempted just 4.1 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 5.1 rate last season.
This year, opposing starting SFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) against the Jazz, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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