Bojan Bogdanovic Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

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Bojan Bogdanovic

NBA · Player Props

Bojan Bogdanovic

F · Detroit Pistons

Points

Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 11:42 PM EST

Analysis

Bojan Bogdanovic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Bojan Bogdanovic registers in the 93rd percentile for 3-point shots sunk playing at home, registering 2.5 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic comes in at the 84th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 31.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Pistons.
The Detroit Pistons are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 4th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
The Pistons have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Bojan Bogdanovic measures in the 98th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a monstrous 0.2 fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.
When it comes to scoring, the Detroit Pistons's unimpressive 108.8 points per game rates 4th-fewest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 1.2 three-pointers per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, branding this as a hard matchup.
Bojan Bogdanovic is expected to suffer a reduction in effectiveness across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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