Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2024

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 26, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 1:00 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-139/+104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -136 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has converted 59.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's made overall this year playing at home.
Bobby Portis has successfully made 2.1 three-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games with the home court advantage.
The 7th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
Bobby Portis will possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boost stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The matchup vs. Brooklyn is a tough one; when the Brooklyn Nets are away from home, they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (11.4).
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from being pitted against the 2nd-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 1stworst in in the league with just 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.9 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.

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