Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 11:02 PM UTC

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has successfully made 7.5 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 more than he's sunk overall this season.
Bobby Portis has sunk 45.6% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games, 10.9% higher than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this season.
Bobby Portis has played 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.5 higher than he's played in all games this year.
With respect to shooting, the Bucks's remarkable 118.7 points per game comes in as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Pacers is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; opposing starting PFs have totaled the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (2.5).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Bobby Portis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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