Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2023

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Dec 27, 2023

Updated Dec 28, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has converted 56.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 7.1% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
The Bucks check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year when they are away from home, their opposition has shot 45.0% on field goal attempts (6th-weakest in the league) vs. the Nets, branding this as a hard matchup.
The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.
Bobby Portis has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.6% higher than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (82nd percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a decline in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Nets).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bobby Portis figures to suffer a reduction in effectiveness for all stats on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

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