Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has successfully made 5.6 shots made from the field per game this year, putting him in the 80th percentile out of all players in the league.
Bobby Portis has converted 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's made from three overall this year on his home court.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Bobby Portis has attempted 3.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season at home.

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year.
The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Bucks.
When playing away from home, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Milwaukee Bucks have been lousy at drawing fouls recently: 4th-worst in the league over the last 5 games when playing at home, averaging a measly 19.6 foul shot attempts per game.
This matchup may be a good one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted a monstrous 23.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (9th-most in the NBA).