Bobby Portis Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Bobby Portis

NBA · Player Props

Bobby Portis

F · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Orlando Magic vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 7, 2023 11:56 PM EST

Analysis

Bobby Portis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bobby Portis has converted 5.5 shots made from the field per game this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Magic is a good one for shots from the field; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.5).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing on the road.
The Magic have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bobby Portis has committed 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (78th percentile).
With the home court advantage, the Magic have allowed the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Bobby Portis will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally decreases player production in all facets of the game.

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