Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2024

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs San Antonio Spurs · Feb 10, 2024

Updated Feb 11, 2024 2:23 AM UTC

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ben Simmons has made 66.4% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 7.0% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.
With respect to treys, the Nets's superb 13.8 successful threes per game settles in as the 7th-most in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have shot 48.4% on 3-pointers (30th-highest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, identifying this as a positive matchup.
The Brooklyn Nets will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).
Ben Simmons should see an increase in productivity across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ben Simmons measures in the 4th percentile for 3-point ability with a a weak 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Ben Simmons has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The 4th-most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year has been the Nets.
The Brooklyn Nets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The San Antonio Spurs have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

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