Ben Simmons Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Ben Simmons

NBA · Player Props

Ben Simmons

G-F · Brooklyn Nets

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:17 PM EST

Analysis

Ben Simmons Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
At home, the Cavaliers have allowed the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
Ben Simmons ought to see a rise in efficiency across the board in light of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Ben Simmons slots into the 6th percentile for three-point ability with a a subpar 0.0% rate this year.
Ben Simmons has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The matchup vs. Cleveland is a challenging one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Cleveland Cavaliers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.9).
The 6th-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nets.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this contest from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Cavaliers).

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