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Ben Sheppard

Ben Sheppard Points
Player Prop - 12/27/2024

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers

Ben Sheppard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ben Sheppard has made 38.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, ranking in the 76th percentile among all players in the NBA.

When it comes to shooting, the Indiana Pacers's terrific 121.2 points per game when playing away from home ranks 5th-best in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Celtics are playing at home, opposing starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

The Pacers have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games away from home.

Out of all players in the NBA, Ben Sheppard ranks in the 95th percentile for free-throw ability with an impressive 89.5% rate since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ben Sheppard has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the NBA (82nd percentile).

The rate of three-pointers hit against Jaylen Brown has been very low (25.2%) when he is playing at home and facing other starting SGs this year (13th percentile).

The Boston Celtics have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

The Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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