Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Dec 1, 2024

Updated Dec 2, 2024 3:33 AM UTC

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 42.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 13.8% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 35.4 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 93rd percentile.
In terms of offense, the Miami Heat's superb 112.7 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 10th-best in the NBA over the last 9 games.
The number of points scored against Jakob Poeltl has been quite high (17.7 per game) when squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (93rd percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to more plays for the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

The 4th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 74.4% mark, Bam Adebayo's free-throw prowess has diminished this season to 64.3%.
Bam Adebayo will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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