Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat · Mar 31, 2024

Updated Apr 1, 2024 1:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has converted 64.7% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 12.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Bam Adebayo has successfully made 61.1% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 28.6% more than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo comes in at the 93rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 34.3 minutes per game this year.
The Heat have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup against Marvin Bagley III is a positive one; he has given up a colossal 18.8 points per game playing at home when facing other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (81st percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Bam Adebayo should suffer a drop-off in performance across the board on account of playing away from home in this contest.

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