Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2024

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 5, 2024

Updated Mar 6, 2024 12:43 AM UTC

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has converted 59.8% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games, 7.6% higher than he's made overall this year.
Bam Adebayo has played 33.8 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing at home this year.
The showdown with Jalen Duren slots into only the 96th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs hitting a massive 1.0 3-point shots per game this year when they are playing at home.
The Miami Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-quickest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo registers in the 11th percentile for shot attempts from downtown, posting 0.2 per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 6thworst in in the NBA with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has collected 12.4 offensive boards per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons (continuing possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).

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