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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Points
Player Prop - 6/9/2023

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has attempted 17.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 41.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.6 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.

The Miami Heat have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 7 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 88.8% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.9% higher than he's made in all games this season.

The matchup against the Nuggets may be a good one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting Cs have attempted a massive 5.1 free throws per game over the last 10 games (29th-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has tallied 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (92nd percentile).

The Miami Heat have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.

The matchup against the Nuggets is a hard one for scoring; the other team's starting Cs have posted the 11th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (56.2%).

The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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