Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:37 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has made 8.2 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year.
Bam Adebayo has averaged 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 more than he's averaged overall this year.
The matchup against the Hawks is a strong one for attempts from downtown; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 23rd-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (1.7).
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Hawks have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has converted 0.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc playing at home this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among all players in the league.
Bam Adebayo has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Hawks have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Heat.

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