Bam Adebayo Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 4, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has successfully made 100.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 75.0% higher than he's made from downtown overall this season when playing away from home.
Bam Adebayo has successfully made 5.6 foul shots per game while on the road this year, ranking in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Bam Adebayo has played 34.7 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 94th percentile.
The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to 3-point attempts.
The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to increased plays for the Lakers.

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
While at home, the Lakers have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Miami Heat check in as the lowest scoring offense in the league away from home this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA away from home this year.
Bam Adebayo will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually lowers stat production for all stats.

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