Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/21/2025

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers · Jan 21, 2025

Updated Jan 22, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -166 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has averaged 5.0 assists per game this year at home, ranking him among the league's best by this metric over this stretch: 90th percentile.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 31.7 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Bam Adebayo stands to see a rise in efficiency across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The 4th-most sluggish pace home offense in the NBA this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 6th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 15 games on the road, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.3 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

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