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Bam Adebayo

Bam Adebayo Assists
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Bam Adebayo has put up 5.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's put up over the course of the season.

Bam Adebayo has played 35.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 95th percentile.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Bam Adebayo has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (84th percentile).

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Bam Adebayo figures to suffer a reduction in production across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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