Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has totaled 3.7 assists per game when playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- near the top of the league by this metric.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 34.7 minutes per game while at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The {OPP_TEAM} will likely see an increase in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most up-tempo pace away team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game playing at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 7thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing teams have come down with 11.0 offensive boards per game (8th-most in the league) against the Grizzlies (saving possessions that can produce added chances for offense).
Bam Adebayo should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this contest.

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