Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 5/19/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat · May 19, 2023

Updated May 20, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has posted 5.0 assists per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.4 more than he's posted over the course of the year on the road.
Bam Adebayo has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 93rd percentile.
With the home court advantage, the Celtics have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he's committed in all games this year on the road.
The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Bam Adebayo will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player performance for all stats.

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