Bam Adebayo Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/18/2023

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Bam Adebayo

NBA · Player Props

Bam Adebayo

C-F · Miami Heat

Assists

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat · Mar 18, 2023

Updated Mar 18, 2023 1:01 PM EST

Analysis

Bam Adebayo Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Bam Adebayo has compiled 3.3 assists per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 83rd percentile -- among the NBA's best by this metric.
Bam Adebayo has tallied 38.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Bulls have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to boost plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Bulls have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Bam Adebayo has averaged 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
Bam Adebayo will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers stat production across the board.

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