Ayo Dosunmu Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Ayo Dosunmu

NBA · Player Props

Ayo Dosunmu

G · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Ayo Dosunmu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of three-point attempts, the 3rd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bulls.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have put up 19.7 points per game (28th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Bulls will likely see a spike in opportunities today from facing the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Milwaukee Bucks).
In comparison to last year's 82.1% mark, Ayo Dosunmu's free-throw effectiveness has spiked this year to 87.5%.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (29th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Ayo Dosunmu has successfully made just 18.8% of his 3-point shots this season, a significant dropoff from his 30.7 rate last season.
Ayo Dosunmu has been on the court for 14.9 minutes per game this year, riding the bench far more than most players in the league: 22nd percentile.
Ayo Dosunmu has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
The slowest tempo home team in the league this year has been the Chicago Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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