Austin Reaves Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Phoenix Suns · Jan 11, 2024

Updated Jan 12, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted 4.2 defensive boards per game this year at home, placing him among the NBA's hottest by this standard over this stretch: 82nd percentile.
Austin Reaves has averaged 35.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.5 more than he's averaged overall this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while playing at home.
The Phoenix Suns have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court usually boosts player performance across the board.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with just 7.7 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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