Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 8.6 mark, Austin Reaves's shots from the field have spiked this season to 11.3 per game.
Austin Reaves has made 50.2% of his three-pointers over the last 15 games at home, 9.4% more than he's made in all games this year playing at home.
In terms of offense, the Los Angeles Lakers's excellent 122.2 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup against Minnesota is a favorable one for three-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 4th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.6).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league this year.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the year.
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Lakers rank 1stworst in in the league with a mere 8.1 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Timberwolves may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.2 free throws per game over the last 20 games (2nd-least in the NBA).

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