Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2024

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 1, 2024

Updated Feb 2, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Austin Reaves slots into the 80th percentile, putting up a colossal 15.1 points per game on the road this year.
Austin Reaves has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.7 more than he's tallied overall this season.
When it comes to scoring, the Lakers's remarkable 128.6 points per game rates best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 25 games, opposing teams have averaged 32.4% on three-pointers (worst in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The matchup vs. Boston is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 27th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.8).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 higher than he's been called for overall this year on the road.
The Los Angeles Lakers will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Celtics).
The Lakers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, their opposition has secured 11.9 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about bonus opportunities for offense).
The matchup against Boston may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted just 1.4 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Celtics are at home (13th-least in the NBA).