Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2024

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

LA Clippers vs Los Angeles Lakers · Jan 23, 2024

Updated Jan 24, 2024 3:07 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has successfully made 61.2% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games, 11.6% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Austin Reaves has sunk 51.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 15.7% more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
With respect to scoring, the Lakers's exceptional 122.0 points per game comes in as the 4th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Lakers.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the other team has brought down 7.8 offensive boards per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (shortening possessions that could otherwise create added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has accumulated 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.5 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against the LA Clippers is a difficult one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 11th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.6).
The Los Angeles Lakers are expected to see a decline in plays in this game from squaring off against the 2nd-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).
The Los Angeles Lakers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally lowers player production across the board.