Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2024

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat · Jan 3, 2024

Updated Jan 4, 2024 3:14 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Austin Reaves places in the 80th percentile, averaging a whopping 15.4 points per game this year.
As it relates to shooting, the Los Angeles Lakers's terrific 122.6 points per game while on their home court ranks 5th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a good one; they have allowed the 27th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.
The Heat have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA while traveling this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Los Angeles Lakers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Los Angeles Lakers rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

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