Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has registered 14.7 points per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 77th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
When it comes to scoring, the Los Angeles Lakers's fantastic 119.2 points per game settles in as the 7th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the other team this year (107.4).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.
Austin Reaves has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.3% higher than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Lakers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Minnesota Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Austin Reaves ought to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories on account of being on the road in this game.