Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:18 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 13.2 clip, Austin Reaves's points per game have jumped this year to 15.5.
In contrast to last season's 1.7 rate, Austin Reaves's three-pointers made have increased this season to 2.0 per game.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 30.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
In contrast to last year's 1.6 mark, Austin Reaves's personal fouls per game have dropped this year to 1.3.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 3-point attempts per game (21st-most in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The Lakers are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
The Lakers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Austin Reaves will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player performance for all stats.

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