Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 5/20/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · May 20, 2023

Updated May 21, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has sunk a whopping 51.0% of his shot attempts from the field this year, significantly higher than his 42.9 rate last year.
Austin Reaves has sunk 4.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's made overall this season.
Austin Reaves has played 35.5 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 5.8 more than he's played overall this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for three-pointers; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 15th-least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Nuggets have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Denver is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.8 foul shots per game this year when the Nuggets are the visiting team (8th-least in the league).

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