Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has made 74.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 22.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season away from home.
Austin Reaves has been on the court for 34.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.4 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a positive one; they have given up the 28th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 15 games (22.8).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Lakers.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-lowest scoring offense in the NBA on the road this year as it relates to shots from downtown.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Minnesota is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 2.4 foul shots per game this year when the Timberwolves are playing at home (12th-least in the league).
Austin Reaves will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsens player production in all stat categories.

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