Austin Reaves Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Austin Reaves

NBA · Player Props

Austin Reaves

G · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 3:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Reaves Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Austin Reaves has posted 15.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's posted in all games this season.
Austin Reaves has played 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's played in all games this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This matchup is a hard one for scoring; the other team have tallied the 10th-least baskets per game in the NBA over the last 10 games when the Grizzlies are away from home (39.9).
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Austin Reaves has failed to make 2.6 treys per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.7 higher than he's missed overall this year playing at home.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the foul line; when the Grizzlies are the visiting team, opposing clubs have attempted a massive 23.3 free throws per game this year (6th-most in the NBA).

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