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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Denver Nuggets

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ausar Thompson has made 66.6% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 11.1% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Ausar Thompson has averaged 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.

The Pistons have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Detroit Pistons are expected to see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Detroit Pistons rank 4th-best in in the league when playing at home with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson ranks in the 20th percentile for 3-point shots scored while playing at home, tallying 0.3 per game this year.

The Detroit Pistons rank as the 3rd-lowest scoring offense in the league while at home this year when it comes to treys.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged 1.1 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, identifying this as a hard matchup.

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