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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 1/22/2025

Atlanta Hawks vs Detroit Pistons

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 60.1% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, creating a good matchup.

The Pistons have played at the 7th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Pistons are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from sharing the court with the most up-tempo pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Atlanta Hawks).

The Pistons check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 22 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ausar Thompson has sunk 25.0% of his three-point attempts this year, ranking him in the 19th percentile among all players in the NBA.

Ausar Thompson has made a lowly 50.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 58.0 mark last year.

In terms of getting to the charity stripe, the Detroit Pistons's subpar 18.6 foul shot attempts per game as the road team rates worst in the league this year.

The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 2.0 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

Ausar Thompson will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player performance in all facets of the game.

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