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Ausar Thompson

Ausar Thompson Points
Player Prop - 1/4/2025

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Ausar Thompson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Ausar Thompson has successfully made 60.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 11.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

The 7th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Pistons.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pistons grade out 8th-best in in the NBA at home with 11.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Ausar Thompson will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually improves stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ausar Thompson has tallied a mere 17.6 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 25.2 minutes per game last year.

Out of all players in the NBA, Ausar Thompson rates in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.

The Detroit Pistons have been the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.

This year, the other team's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on shots from the field (3rd-weakest in the league) vs. the Timberwolves, identifying this as a hard matchup.

The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Pistons.

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