Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.1 shots from the field per game away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 31.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
This year, opposing starting SGs have tallied 6.3 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Heat, designating this as a strong matchup.
This year, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.2 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Heat (losing possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards registers in the 85th percentile for technical fouls, putting up a monstrous 0.1 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Anthony Edwards will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance in all facets of the game.