Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Anthony Edwards

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 18.8 shots per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile out of all players in the league.
Anthony Edwards has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 88th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-most efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have compiled 18.3 points per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, creating a strong matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Pacers have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Anthony Edwards comes in at the 94th percentile for technical fouls, posting a colossal 0.2 fouls per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Without the home court advantage, the Pacers have given up the 7th-most offensive boards per game (11.3) in the league to opposing teams over the last 12 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

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