Anthony Edwards Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Edwards

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Edwards Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Edwards has attempted 22.4 shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 18.7 rate last year.
Anthony Edwards has successfully made a whopping 3.0 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 2.5 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Anthony Edwards lands in the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 35.5 minutes per game this year.
The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing away from home since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have shot 48.3% on shots from the field (5th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, branding this as a strong matchup.
This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 3.9 3-point attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) against the Suns, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Suns have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the league as the visting team with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Suns is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.2 foul shots per game this year (12th-least in the league).