Anthony Davis Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Anthony Davis

NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 8:40 PM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Anthony Davis has compiled a whopping 12.3 rebounds per game this season, a big improvement over his 9.9 rebounds per game last season.
Anthony Davis has tallied 33.4 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the league on their home court this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Lakers.
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has committed 2.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Timberwolves have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsens stat production in all stat categories.

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