Anthony Davis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Anthony Davis

F-C · Los Angeles Lakers

Points

Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 4:08 AM EST

Analysis

Anthony Davis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Anthony Davis lands in the 97th percentile for shots drained while playing on the road, putting up an enormous 9.3 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Anthony Davis measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 36.0 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Los Angeles Lakers.
The Lakers will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Jazz).

Favors Under

Anthony Davis has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The matchup against Walker Kessler is a difficult one for treys; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have sunk a measly 27.6% of their 3-point attempts (14th percentile).
The Los Angeles Lakers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Utah Jazz have given up the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Anthony Davis will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.